Corn Yield Estimates Market Manipulation? Fed Bitcoin Reserve Plan, China Tariff Risks
About this episode
Ag Tribes Report episode with Jacob Babcock, a Michigan agricultural drone applicator (OnPoint Applications Group), covering four price/market-focused stories. The lead story questions whether StoneX's unusually high 188.1 bu/acre corn yield estimate — well above USDA's figure — reflects genuine crop conditions or market manipulation, with online chatter tying the brokerage to BlackRock and accusing corporate interests of depressing prices to force land sales; both hosts express skepticism of coordinated conspiracy while acknowledging real financial distress among farmers. The second story covers Trump's new 100% tariff on Chinese semiconductors and its ripple risk for corn/soybean exports, with China's forward grain purchases at a 15-year low. The third covers surging beef prices holding against strong high-protein-diet-driven demand, contrasted with squeezed packer margins. The fourth covers record but decelerating US farmland values, with Jacob noting his own county's price growth being driven partly by solar farm development and non-ag land competition. The extended Bitcoin/farmland segment is unusually substantive this episode: Vance discusses a Federal Reserve paper exploring gold revaluation as a "budget neutral" mechanism to fund a strategic Bitcoin reserve, and relays economist Luke Gromen's thesis that Bitcoin could serve as a monetary "escape valve" for money-printing that would otherwise inflate commodity and housing prices to painful levels. Segments close with Jacob's Peter Thiel paradox (confidence that drone spraying will broadly displace traditional boom/air-blast sprayers, with China currently dominant in manufacturing) and worthy adversary (spray consultant "guru" Mark Leder, respected but repeatedly proven wrong on coverage-percentage assumptions in field tests).
“Critics are pointing to StoneX's lack of methodological transparency... it ties BlackRock, suggesting corporate interest aimed to force land sales at low prices." / "The fact that there's any ties to BlackRock is kind of concerning to me. It seems like anything BlackRock has their hands in, they want to push some sort of agenda.”
“The Federal Reserve just published a paper... talking about a US proposal to use the proceeds revaluing gold reserves to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve... it is astounding to think that the Federal Reserve would do that.”
“There's a lot of room where, like here in Michigan, all our fields are surrounded by trees, power lines. It's really a pain for the crop dusters to get in those fields. So I think that's a great application for [drones].”
Key moments
- Guest intro — Jacob Babcock, Michigan drone applicator; discussion of drones' comparative advantage over crop-dusting planes in tree/power-line-dense fields.
- Story #1 — StoneX's outlier-high corn yield estimate sparks manipulation accusations tied to BlackRock; both hosts skeptical of top-down conspiracy but acknowledge real farmer financial distress.
- Story #2 — Trump's 100% China semiconductor tariff and its risk to corn/soybean exports; China's grain forward-purchase bookings at a 15-year low.
- Story #3 — beef prices up 8.8% YoY yet demand holds strong, driven by high-protein diet trends; packing houses reportedly losing money per head despite high retail prices.
- Story #4 — US farmland values hit record highs but growth is decelerating; Jacob notes local land-price inflation driven by solar development and non-farm buyers.
- late ~55-65%: Extended Bitcoin segment — Federal Reserve paper on gold revaluation as a path to funding a strategic Bitcoin reserve; Luke Gromen's thesis on Bitcoin as an inflation "escape valve" versus commodities/housing.
- Peter Thiel paradox — Jacob predicts drones will broadly displace traditional spray equipment; notes China's current manufacturing dominance and unresolved US security concerns.
- Worthy adversary — spray consultant Mark Leder, respected industry "guru" repeatedly proven wrong on spray-coverage assumptions during field testing.
Notable quotes
“It is astounding to think that the Federal Reserve would do that.”
“It ties BlackRock, suggesting corporate interest aimed to force land sales at low prices.”
Predictions made in this episode
- Farmland prices will continue rising in the near term (not yet peaking or reversing), driven by continued government money-printing flowing into hard assets.
- Date made: 2025-08-08, position ~50%.
- Timeframe: near-term, unspecified.
- Parameters: would be falsified by a sustained decline in US farmland per-acre values over the following year.
Full transcript
Read the full transcript (word-for-word, with timestamps)
Jacob Babcock [00:00:00] The Ag Tribes report is brought to you by Legacy Interviews, a video service that captures people as they really are. So the future knows who they really were. Here's Legacy Interviews. Guest Patricia Showalter. On the fun she had sharing stories for her grandchildren.
Vance Crowe [00:00:16] I really
Jacob Babcock [00:00:16] Didn't know what to expect.
Vance Crowe [00:00:18] Were you nervous about it before or how did you feel about it
Jacob Babcock [00:00:21] Before? No, I just wondered what the heck was going to happen
Vance Crowe [00:00:24] If somebody was on the fence, what would you
Jacob Babcock [00:00:26] Tell them? Yeah, I'd tell somebody to do it. Just go and have fun. I've had fun. You're only here for a short time. My grandkids are going to say, oh, holy cow. Can we believe this stuff? Welcome to the Ag Tribes report, a breakdown of the top stories affecting the culture of agriculture with your host, Vance Crowe. The report begins in 3, 2, 1. Let's begin.
Vance Crowe [00:01:02] Welcome to the Ag Tribes report. I'm your host, Vance Crowe. Each week I bring on a co-host to represent one of the many ag tribes that collectively make up US and Canadian agriculture. This week we have Jacob Babcock. Jacob is a dedicated Michigan agricultural spray drone applicator and maintainer who started applicating with his dad in 2021 as one of the first two legal operators to spray fields for hire in the state. They've since expanded to selling drones to custom applicators and farmers while collaborating closely with Michigan State University on research across crops like grapes, pumpkins, carrots, blueberries, asparagus, chestnuts, potatoes, field corn and cherries. Their research proven efficacy is elevating crop protection for growers statewide. Welcome to the show Jacob.
Jacob Babcock [00:01:51] Hey. Yeah, thank you. It's great to be here.
Vance Crowe [00:01:55] So what have you been paying attention to lately?
Jacob Babcock [00:02:00] It's, man, it's a busy season right now. The corn fungicide run is when almost all the drones are running right now. So I've just been running around keeping people flying. So that's been what I've been mostly paying attention
Vance Crowe [00:02:14] To, you know, so I'm So you were one of the people that reached out to me, A farmer I didn't know, or somebody in ag. It's great. After you did and I started looking into drone applicator stuff, I started seeing stuff on X. A guy named Mizzou Tiger was out there saying, drone applicating for pesticides is way overhyped. What do you think? Is it, are you in an overhyped field?
Jacob Babcock [00:02:36] It depends on who you ask. I mean, there's some people that say that they're the gonna take out the crop dusters and everything else. It's just gonna be drones. It's not. But I do think that there is a lot of room where, like here in Michigan, all our fields, most of our fields are surrounded by trees, power lines. It's really a pain for the crop dusters to get in those fields. So I think that's a great application for that. There's also some growers, like I got a handful of potato growers that, that have left the the plane just so they can buy these, not be on someone else's schedule, get everything they want done when they want done.
Vance Crowe [00:03:12] Yeah. So what is the comparative advantage for drones as opposed to planes? I imagine with planes you can do a lot bigger acreage a lot faster.
Jacob Babcock [00:03:19] Yeah, I mean that is definitely one of the biggest upsides and it's, I'd say it's different between state. I mean, you go out to Kansas or something where it's really open, they can do a pretty good job out there. They can be real close to crop getting stuff in there. But the drones, you know, here, oh, compared to here, like I said, trees, they got pull up, you know, a long time before they can't get near as close to the crop. So there's a lot of room that they kind of don't get the spray on, so close to the crop. So stuff like that. And also, I mean, you know, you can use the drone in very different ways. You can go fast and just spread it out like a plane kind of. Or you can kind of go slower and just force it through the canopy. Like if you're spraying trees or something, you could force it right through the tree.
Vance Crowe [00:04:14] Fascinating. Well, I'm glad that we are bringing your expertise on tonight for today's shows, 'cause we should dive into it. We're gonna look at whether corn yield estimates are a market manipulation scheme, undermining farmers. We're also gonna talk about if the new tariffs on China are herding corn and soybean exports. We're gonna talk about how beef demand is holding strong despite soaring prices and farmland values are hitting new highs. But some people are saying that it is beginning to slow down. We're also gonna compare farmland and Bitcoin prices. We're gonna hear Jacob's take take on the Peter Teel paradox and we're gonna learn about his worthy adversarial. And we're gonna try and do that in just 30 minutes. And if I sound a little stuttery, it is because my, my wife who just brought a new child in about six weeks ago into this world is a little under the weather. And so I'm pulling double duty and I'm barely hanging on. So Jacob, you may have to pull a majority of the load here. Alright, story number one, our corny yard. Our corn yield estimates a market manipulation scheme to undermine farmers in early August 25 commodity brokerage. Stone X projected a staggering 188.1 bushels per acre for us corn yields translating into 16.3 billion bushels harvested far above the USDA's 181 bushel per acre estimate. So this optimistic forecast has sparked accusations of market manipulation as it depresses corn.
Vance Crowe [00:05:44] Future prices currently four 10 to four 30 per bushel squeezing farmers already grappling with low profitability, delayed planting from excessive rains and issues like tassel wrap and disease. Critics are pointing to stonex, lack of methodological transparency saying they didn't say how they did it, who they've asked anything that's put that they used to put it together. And it ties BlackRock suggesting corporate interest aimed to force land sales at low prices historical USDA overestimates like 2023, which revised down from 180 1 to 173 bushels fuel skepticism with the upcoming August 12th report expected at 180 4 to 185 bushels on x. Users are echoing frustration and industry voices are warning that this could deepen financial distress for small operators. I went out and asked Rock, you know, overall, what are the experts on X predicting is the range of of crops. And they're saying right now on X, people are expecting it to be between 182 and 188 bushels per acre with consensus leaning right in the middle at about 184.5 bushels per acre. Jacob, what do you think? Is this a coordinated plan to overestimate bushels? Is this just an honest mistake or are the numbers really that big?
Jacob Babcock [00:07:08] I mean, the fact that, I mean, I didn't know who at all Stonex was until I read this and did a little bit of digging. But the fact that there's any ties to BlackRock, BlackRock is kind of concerning to me. Just, it seems like anything BlackRock has their hands in, they want to push some sort of agenda or something. So that's, that's always a concern. Yeah, I mean I guess that that's my main thing, just BlackRock. But also, yeah, I mean, yeah, just the,
Vance Crowe [00:07:43] To me, like there, there's definitely voices out there. Jared McDaniel has been saying this for years, that the numbers are being consciously manipulated that people are doing this on purpose. You know, I can remember in 23 when they were way overestimating, all of a sudden it dropped down and then the people that had held onto their corn watched that price buoy bang like a, like a balloon coming outta the water. And, and so you gotta think like there are people that will act on their interests in that way. But that being said, there are a lot of people watching the crop. There are a lot of people that have driven from Iowa all the way out to Indiana up to, you know, North Dakota and South. And I feel like you do get a pretty good sense from farmers looking at what's going on there. So to me it's always hard to ascribe conspiratorial motives from the top. But you know, I don't know.
Jacob Babcock [00:08:39] Yeah, I mean, I mean I'm just up here in Michigan, our corn here looks pretty good, but I, I mean I don't get down to Missouri or Iowa or any of that much, but I do know like up in Minnesota they have had a lot of rain. It seems like that's kind of stressed the corn a little bit or Minnesota. But I, and I have heard a lot about this tassel wrap, which I didn't even know was a thing until it came out and was like, but I, I mean it makes sense when I've looked into it. But
Vance Crowe [00:09:12] Yeah, and tassel wrap, man, I, I took some heat over the week for some people being like, no, this is way over hyped. But on the same side I saw Brian Scott showing, you know, corn that he had that was, that was not looking good. You know, you open up that ear and all of a sudden there's nowhere near the amount of corn in there, corn, corn kernels. So it, it is really hard to estimate 'cause you do drive. I've done a bunch of driving over the summer and man those corn crop look big and green and luscious and so it's hard to say that they aren't a huge bumper crop.
Jacob Babcock [00:09:46] Yeah, no, I mean, like I said, definitely here that I think we're gonna have a good crop, but we'll see. 'cause the other factor is disease. We've had a lot of good rain and then recently we had some nice cool weather in the mornings and throughout the days and that's just pretty good for some fungis to grow in. So we'll see. Hopefully not too, too many diseases with all the crops really, but especially corn.
Vance Crowe [00:10:14] Well I have it mark, so every couple weeks I will run the same query with grok and see what the experts on X are saying and how they get revised up and down. Alright, moving on to story number two is the tariff war herding corn and soybean experts. On August 6th, 2025, president Trump announced a 100% tariff on imported semiconductors and chips from China. Exempting those built in the US intensifying the ongoing trade war while targeting tech. This escalates tensions raising fears of Chinese retaliation against the US agriculture where China is a key buyer of corn and soybeans. The ag sector relies on Chinese consumption to reduce domestic supplies and support prices. But China's forward purchasing books for US grains is the smallest since 2021. I actually looked into it and what I've heard now is that it, there are no open orders and this is the lowest amount that it's been in 15 years. Signaling deterred buying amid amid prior tariffs. US exports could suffer further with corn and soybeans, farmers facing lower demand and prices already pressured by global surpluses. Critics from the Corn Refiners Association and soybean groups argue that tariffs disrupt the supply chains and are actually benefiting our competitors like Brazil, who continue to get the investment to be able to build out the infrastructures to su supply Brazil, to supply China with grain on X. There is no widespread recent sentiment, but broader trade war discussions highlight farmer anxiety over lost markets.
Vance Crowe [00:11:49] Proterra voices claim it protects US jobs, but small producers fear this consolidation. So what do you think, Jacob, is Trump winning the tariff war or is this fight starting to hurt farmers?
Jacob Babcock [00:12:01] I don't know. I mean, I kind of came into this presidency thinking it's gonna be a little while before we really see how things shake out. It's, it sure seems like right now there it's hurting, putting more strain on the American farmer, especially corn and soy. But it's kind of just, I mean, I was looking at all the stories you have coming up here and it's like that was kind of just seemed like a common theme that there's just a lot of things pushing on the American farmer right now and it doesn't seem like another thing is, you know, it's kinda like what straw may be, break some bones on the camel's back. But
Vance Crowe [00:12:39] Yeah, I mean this is the, the stories I'm running today are all sent to me by listeners and it just, I try to make this a show on the culture of agriculture, but th this is what is shaping things the most. It is price, it is supply and it is demand. And you're right, like there, there is just a lot of pressure right now on farmers and a lot of uncertainty. One thing is clear is I don't think anybody's tired of winning right now. I think even even cattle producers aren't, aren't feeling like they're tired of winning just yet, which is what Trump had promised them. So do you think, hold on a little longer or was that the hook that got farmers on and now they're stuck with an administration that isn't actually putting in policies that help 'em?
Jacob Babcock [00:13:23] I mean, I don't know. That's kind of a hard deal. Yeah, I don't, I don't feel, I don't feel there's a lot of farms that are really winning right now, but like I said, I, I, I mean most presidencies just try and see how things shake out. But just everything, I mean, tariffs have affected not only farmers but also other businesses and everything and inspected ours a little bit and it's definitely hurt a fair bit. So I'm, I'm honestly not a hundred percent sold on the whole tariff thing that Trump is doing, but like I said, I'm kind of waiting and just trying to weather the storm. But yeah, it tariffs on everything is not helping right now. I'm, I'm thinking.
Vance Crowe [00:14:16] Well let's head on to the third story where we continue talking about prices because beef prices continue to soar while demand holds strong. Despite skyrocketing beef prices in 2025, US demand remains robust with the beef market projected at 113.2 billion. Beef prices are up 8.8% this year with June prices 10.6 higher than in 2024, driven by not just a shrinking supply. Beef production is down 2.3%, but also skyrocketing demand. High protein diet trends have pushed six have increased by 61% in 2024 and 80% of meat eaters viewing animal proteins as key to a healthy lifestyle fuel consumption and nutrient dense beef supporters for like doing things like weight management. So cattle producers are reaping rewards earning $622 per cow in 24 with feeder steers at 2 0 5 70 per hundred weight. However, packing houses are reportedly facing losses of $133 per head due to high cattle costs on X. The chatter reflects consumers grumbling over high prices but continuing to grill and beef producers, some of them really celebrating and saying that they are, they earn this after many, many years of depressed prices. So how about you Jacob? Beef prices are up. Are you still buying plenty of beef and grilling?
Jacob Babcock [00:15:48] Yeah, yeah, we, we are, we get beef right from a farmer down the road and don't, once you go to that local beef, it's hard to go back to the grocery store. I'm just kind of wondering, you know, as the time goes on in the coming weeks, maybe months, if you're gonna see any increase in the price of pork or chicken or anything of the sort people, and I wonder if we're gonna hit that point where people are like, eh, you know, maybe a little less beef, Hey this chicken's a little less for, you know, see if curious kind. Yeah,
Vance Crowe [00:16:24] It's not been that cheap. I will say pork definitely has, my family has increased our, our pork eating, which is great with me. I love pork. I think it's an under celebrated meat in the United States. But my wife loves chicken and I can tell you that like as the guy that does the grocery shopping, I can see that chicken prices are pretty high. But I think that that goes along with the idea of high protein diets. I know my family is much more willing to spend on protein than we probably were a couple of years ago and I think that that is a cultural trend right now.
Jacob Babcock [00:16:55] Oh, ab absolutely. I mean, I mean it's kind of been starting to shift that way in the culture, but it seems like RFK and a handful of other people really push that along really quickly. But
Vance Crowe [00:17:12] Yeah, it's, it's gonna be interesting. They were saying that prices went up to 4% over the last month and you would think that that would stall demand, but it's not. And people often say the cure for high prices is high prices, but maybe if you have something people want, then it doesn't and the price just keeps going up. Alright, moving on to another increasing price. And that is farmland prices. They have hit new highs, but growth is slowing. The USDA's 2025 land value summary report reveals that US farmland values reaching a record high with farm real estate averaging $4,350 per acre, up 4.3% from 24 cropland at $5,830, which is up 4.7 and pastures up at 19 $120, which is up 5%. However, growth is decelerating from last prior years 5% and 11.7% from 21 to 22. So this is showing that there is some impact from commodity prices and high input costs are making people a little bit more reluctant maybe to take on some acreage. Regional variations, as we know from this show, are very wildly Michigan leading at 7.8% growth while high value states like Rhode Island hit 22,500 per acre. So critics from small farmer advocacy groups worry that rising value prices are cutting out young interests, entrants and favoring large operations.
Vance Crowe [00:18:48] So what do you think Jacob are, are land prices they gonna slow down? Are we gonna hit a peak and start going back down? Or are they going up forever?
Jacob Babcock [00:18:56] I mean, personally, I, I don't know completely as, I don't think many people probably do. I, I think it's definitely gonna, at least for right now, keep going up. I think it's gonna need a, we're gonna need a lot of change. I mean, I know a lot of the reason why our co or our price per acre is going up so much is solar fields development. They're putting in some factories, people moving in. All everything's, as far as land is getting more expensive around here. So there, unless you can start cutting some of that, I don't see much a change in that, sadly.
Vance Crowe [00:19:37] Yeah, I mean it's, it's one of these things that the, the rich get richer in, in this kind of a scenario. And as the government prints more money, it is one of the places that that money floats to is it goes to hard assets like land. And we're watching the price go up and up and up and it's, it definitely is keeping younger people from being able to jump in. I was on the way over listening to a real estate agent talk about housing prices and the exact same thing is happening there as inflation has gone up, the price of people's homes have gone up, but eventually the cure for high prices is high prices and people won't be able to buy. And at least in housing right now, you're watching a huge separation between the number of buyers and the number of sellers. It's, in fact, there are more sellers than buyers at the largest margin in something like 25 years, which was one of those metrics that people saw going into the, the financial crisis of 2008. I don't know that land will follow that same trend, but it does seem that land prices, at least right now, continue to rock it upwards.
Jacob Babcock [00:20:45] I mean, yeah, honestly, it, we'll see if it ever goes downward, but hopefully it don't, hopefully everything else don't come crashing down with it.
Vance Crowe [00:20:57] All right, well that's gonna do it for this week's shows. If you have stories that you think I should be covering, send them to me on X at Vance Crowe or you can send it to me Vance at Legacy Interviews dot com. Every story this week was sent to me by listeners and I really appreciate it. Moving on now to the Bitcoin land price report. So, alright, Jacob, what county do you live in?
Jacob Babcock [00:21:20] I live in Calhoun County, Michigan.
Vance Crowe [00:21:23] And what does one acre of high quality farmland cost there?
Jacob Babcock [00:21:28] It depends, but I would say around, you know, seven, seven and a half to 8,000. You just say 8,000.
Vance Crowe [00:21:36] Alright, well this week Bitcoin's price has been jumping up and down, but right before press time it was $117,500. So if we compare that to $8,000 an acre, that means that 0.068 Bitcoin would buy you an acre of high quality farm land in Calhoun County, or in other words, one Bitcoin would buy you 14.7 acres. How does that sit with you, Jacob?
Jacob Babcock [00:22:06] I mean, I think it's probably a common answer you get. I wish I had some Bitcoin, you know, I wish when I was a kid my parents would've gave me allowance and I would've put that into Bitcoin, I'd be sitting pretty decent. But no, I mean it's Bitcoin's one of those things. I, I don't have any, I don't have anything in it right now, but it is definitely something as time goes on, I, I think I wanna start looking at it a bit more, maybe putting some money into it as well as other things. But
Vance Crowe [00:22:33] Yeah, my, my unsolicited advice here is that the very first purchase is the hardest one. And even if all you do is go out and buy $5, you'll be over that hurdle and then you won't be like, I wish I would've done it. You'll be like, well I'm doing it now. And I think that some big things are happening. I was listening to my favorite Bitcoin podcast, which I would recommend to everyone, which is called this Week in Bitcoin. And they pointed out that the Federal Reserve just published a paper. The paper was official reserve reevaluations the International Experience. This was an article that actually mentioned Bitcoin in the context of a US proposal to use the proceeds revaluing gold reserves to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve or sovereign wealth. So I actually went and read the paper and the paper is saying, look, there's some talk about maybe trying to find budget neutral ways to buy Bitcoin. That's what Trump said he wants to do. And one way that you could do it would be to reprice gold, which right now the US has 261.5 million Troy ounces of gold, but they're valued at $42 and 22 cents per ounce on all of the balance sheets. Now everybody that's watched gold knows that gold is actually more like 3,300 per dollars per ounce and it, that statutory limit has actually held down the value of gold. So what you could do, and what this paper is talking about doing is that other countries, other central banks have let go that statutory price on their gold and let it be re repriced.
Vance Crowe [00:24:07] And then what could you do with what that does with the balance sheet? And the Federal Reserve was hinting at you could potentially buy Bitcoin, which is astounding to think that the Federal Reserve would do that. What do you think, Jacob, do you think the US might reprice their gold and use that repricing to buy Bitcoin?
Jacob Babcock [00:24:26] I mean, I've heard of other things farther out of left field than that I could see, you know, four or eight years ago I couldn't see that. But now honestly, I, I wouldn't be that surprised if something of the sort happened. I'm just, I'm not sure how many people would like or dislike that
Vance Crowe [00:24:47] More than 10 years ago, I, I attended a couple of meetings at the Federal Reserve about Bitcoin and they treated it like such a joke and now it is so amazing to see them writing papers and I don't think there is any moment too soon. I was also listening to Luke Groman talk about, he's an economist and he was saying, look, Bitcoin may actually be the solution to the government's problems. We must print money in order to have enough money to pay off our debts. But if you print money, that inflation is gonna go into things we talked about. It's going into land prices, it's going into wherever you have hard assets. Well if it goes, if all of a sudden all of that money flows straight into commodity prices and commodity prices jump from $4 all the way up to $18 a bushel or $60 a bushel, you'd have people mass starving around the world. You might have really happy farmers, but this would suddenly be a very bad thing. But Bitcoin actually offers an off ramp instead of money going into commodities or growing into the housing market or into land. It could go into Bitcoin of which you're not pricing anybody out of anything at that point. You're not keeping them from being able to eat or afford a house or get electricity. So to me Bitcoin may be the answer to a lot of the US governments and really governments all over the world's problems. What do you think, you think there's a chance we may funnel all that money that they print into Bitcoin?
Jacob Babcock [00:26:16] I don't know about all of it, but I'm sure, I mean I don't see, just thinking about it, I don't know why exactly it wouldn't hurt to delete. I mean it makes some sense but also it'd make, I know as I kinda was mentioning earlier about, you know, land prices going up with the solar and all that, they're just looking at some way to make it or turn on their money. So I mean if they could see that and see Bitcoin or something of the sort as a just as good or maybe a bit more even or even better investment, then I think that would help that issue from story four.
Vance Crowe [00:26:54] Yeah, I, it's we're gonna see what happens, but I think the world is gonna continue to be ever shaped by prices. All right, if you are interested in buying Bitcoin then I recommend using River. If you use the link that I'll put in the show notes, then you will both be buying from a great exchange where I do my Bitcoin purchasing, but you will also be supporting the show which will get a little bit of Bitcoin if you make a purchase there. So go to river.com and make that purchase. Alright, moving on to the Peter Thiel paradox. Jacob, what is one thing that you believe that almost nobody in your tribe agrees with you on?
Jacob Babcock [00:27:32] I mean, I'm sure there's some people, I could see this coming, but I really, I mean I kind of, we were talking a little bit about at the first of a lot of the, you know, jobs for crop dusters getting, you know, sent more over to the drones. Although I think it's gonna broaden just from crop dusters. I think you're gonna see that a lot with, I think we already are seeing a bit of that with traditional boom type sprayers and air blast sprayers and even some of the few people that do backpack spraying still. There's a lot of those that I think eventually will transition over the drone or at least try it. I mean they're, they're incredibly versatile tool. I mean you can make it like an air blaster where you pushing everything through the canopy or you're blanketing it across the field. So
Vance Crowe [00:28:22] You were telling me before about who you think will lead the future in drone manufacturing. Will it be the us
Jacob Babcock [00:28:30] I kind of, I mean the thing is China's already got a huge jump on us. I mean I have not messed with too much with the more American assembled drones. I thought I have some customers that had some, they ran 'em for a year or two, they bought one of these XAG is the main company we sell for. They bought one of those and they said it's been the easiest and nicest and fastest year for their corn fungicide run. So I mean I'm American. I would love to see and I'd love to go to a show and say this is an American drone right here, but I don't think we're gonna see that anytime soon. And what worries me is there's a lot of push to ban Chinese major rooms and there's some good reasons and I'm open to hearing that. But a lot of the reasons that they've pushed have kind of been, you know, security audits and whatnot and so far the companies have been audited passed. So you know, until there's some real serious, I don't quite buy into the banning but I mean like I said, the world's changing or like I said but you know, the world's changing. You know, something may happen and you know, I may say, you know, we gotta quit using these, but from what I know right now, China's far really far ahead and I've not seen any like real big security issues with the ones we are using. At least for what we are using it for.
Vance Crowe [00:30:00] It's hard to say what to do in a situation like this. I know personally like we have a camera system in my house in order that I can keep security on things, I can check in on my sleeping, you know, newborn and it turns out that all these video feeds were hitting servers over in China and, and so, you know, I don't know that they're sitting there watching me in my house, but it definitely felt weird that they had set up the, you know, the ecosystem for that. Yeah, I think about that on a grand scale for drones seems like it could be an actual national security threat.
Jacob Babcock [00:30:36] It could. And I mean there's some things I can get, you know, like not using 'em for federal or some state projects, you know, having it mail or, so just private use. I will say at least with the manufacturer, we work with XAG, they have worked to move all their servers from China to the us. They're on a Amazon server in North Carolina I believe. And they worked and the one thing I've heard from them that was kind of interesting is it's harder for them to access the servers here than it is for us to go the other way across and send stuff to China. So I, I don't know, we'll see. I'm not a secu security expert on that regard, but
Vance Crowe [00:31:18] Alright, moving on to your worthy adversary, who is one person that you respect but you strongly disagree with?
Jacob Babcock [00:31:26] Kind of in the same realm of drones, but he's done a lot more than just drones, but it's a be a guy by the name of Mark Leder. He is a spraying guru, guru as some may call him. He is an expert in the field, his dad and someone else started a spray air, air blast spraying company and sold from that and went to the consulting consults for a lot of different companies. He is, you know, got a lot of knowledge, you know, there's some things though that it's like he is like, now I don't think that's gonna work there. And then we go out, we do it, it works like, well why is it working and doesn't have a, you know, challenges us a little bit with that and you know, the job we're doing.
Vance Crowe [00:32:12] Alright, so you started off strong, you were willing to name somebody and you're saying that he, this guy thinks like, yeah this can't be done and you've ended up proving him wrong a couple of times.
Jacob Babcock [00:32:23] Some things, the main thing like is with coverage, he's, they're very like, you need to have this percent of coverage and then we do our tests. We're not getting even really too much close to it, but it's still, you know, very effective getting the job done. So we kind of pressed him on it a lot of times and kind of not having a real good answer.
Vance Crowe [00:32:45] I love it.
Jacob Babcock [00:32:45] I'll call him out for that.
Vance Crowe [00:32:47] Well I, your, your Peter Thiel paradox was a little indiscernible to me, but this were the adversary is one of the good ones. So we will add this to our list. It's good, it's important that you find people, you say, hey, this guy's built up a reputation, he's done well for himself, but you know, sometimes we found some things that we don't agree with. That's exactly how you discover new information. So thank you for that. Alright, we are going to close out, but before we do Jacob, if people wanted to learn more about your drone company, what you guys do and what you're all about, where, where would they go to learn more?
Jacob Babcock [00:33:22] Yeah, we're based out of Michigan here. We can kind of get into northern Indiana and northern Ohio a little bit, but our company's called OnPoint Applications Group. We sell primarily XAG brand drones. We're kind of working on getting a couple other ones here, but that is our bread and butter. That is the ones that we have, you know, we started with two of them and we've gone pretty much just to this one because we like 'em so much. There's so much more serviceable and all that stuff.
Vance Crowe [00:33:52] And what's the point of differentiation? Why should people come to you?
Jacob Babcock [00:33:58] I mean, kind of how we came to be was, you know, the thing that we wanted to set our ourself out on was service. I mean, what good is it if I sell you a drone and yeah, you don't get any service. I mean I had a guy a couple about a month ago, crashed his drone real bad. Had to total it. The guy he bought it from, he went to him was like, Hey, I need some service. I need to get this fixed. And the guy just said, we don't service those. So he got our, got our number from a mutual friend. We got 'em right up and going. So,
Vance Crowe [00:34:31] Well, Jacob, that fits perfectly with my experience with you. I had asked last week, Hey, if there's anybody out in the ag world that wants to do the ag tribes report thinks they might bring a new perspective, you wrote me, you were super responsive, you were provided all kinds of information. And if your service for drones is anything like the way we prep for this, then I think you are probably one hell of a good company. All right, well that's,
Jacob Babcock [00:34:58] Well thank you. And just one last thing. Sure. Oh, just one last thing. There's a show here in Michigan, if you're locally, you probably heard of it, agro Expo. Next week we'll be doing some demos and have a booth there if you'll see, check out everything's out, have a conversation whether you think I'm doing a stupid thing and wanna tell me that or you think this is a great idea and wanna learn more, go ahead and find us there.
Vance Crowe [00:35:22] Definitely. If you heard Jacob on the podcast, tell him you heard him on the podcast, I'd love to hear that. All right, thanks Jacob for coming on and thank you for tuning into the Ag Tribes report. That's gonna do it for this week. As I mentioned, I will put a link into For River, if you're thinking about buying Bitcoin, I can tell you it does seem like the stars are lining up for some pretty big moves in the short to medium term. And go check out this week in Bitcoin also, if you are somebody that is trying to help your organization get better. A few weeks ago I was invited to give a workshop on storytelling. And this workshop is called The Man on the Box. And I start off by telling the story of how I was out competed by a snake oil salesman. I once was in Africa trying to teach the people how to prevent malaria, thought I was doing a great job teaching them all about the science. And a man came walking into town one day, stepped up on a box and told the villagers a story. And I remember thinking like, no way man, I brought science here. Like there's no way they're gonna listen to you. And every single person in that village lined up to give him money for his little vials of snake oil. And from that I learned that storytelling is actually the most important thing in communications. And so I offer a workshop that will teach you and your organization how to tell your story, how to introduce yourself, how to talk about what you care about, how to talk about the value that you bring so that you can outcompete men and women that will come and stand on boxes trying to outcompete you.
Vance Crowe [00:36:56] If that's something you're interested in, go to Vance Crowe dot com and fill out the contact form and let's see if we can work on something. Alright, that's gonna do it for this week, next week. I'm a very excited, we have Jim Smith coming on, so he just agreed to that. He has got some great takes and a great podcast. So I'm looking forward to that. So I'll be back next week and as always, feel free to disagree.
Bring this conversation to your organization. Vance Crowe speaks to conferences, boards, and leadership teams on economic uncertainty and communication and negotiation.
Book Vance to speak